May 15, 2012 -- Scientists have developed a test that may be able to predict who is at risk for schizophrenia, a complex mental illness that is thought to run in families. To develop the test, scientists used a new approach to identify a comprehensive group of genes most likely linked with the disease.
"We have really broken the code," says researcher Alexander B. Niculescu III, MD, PHD, associate professor of psychiatry and medical neuroscience at the Indiana University School of Medicine, Indianapolis. "We have identified the most comprehensive and best list of genes so far."
The new model depicts schizophrenia as a disease that occurs from a mix of genetic variations affecting the brain's development and connections, along with stress and other environmental factors.
Schizophrenia affects about 1% of Americans, according to the National Institute of Mental Health. The chronic, disabling disorder is marked by symptoms such as hallucinations, paranoid thoughts, and disorganized thinking. Although treatable, many patients refuse medications because of the side effects.
For years, scientists have known that genes and environment both play a role in schizophrenia.
"It was suspected that there were likely many genes involved, but the evidence from genetic studies was variable and inconclusive for many of them," Niculescu tells WebMD.
Genetics of Schizophrenia
The researchers drew information from genome-wide association studies, independent studies, and other sources to develop the list of genes.
When they had the list, they tested it in four different groups of people. They found it could identify those with schizophrenia and those without. The test was accurate in 2 out of 3 people, Niculescu says.
The genetic risk test is at very early stages. If all goes well, a commercial company could develop it within in three to five years, Niculescu estimates.
The test would be useful for children in high-risk families in which a relative has the disorder, he says.
"In this way, if the score is higher, those children could be followed more closely," he says. Treatment could be started earlier for better results, he says.