Sept. 10, 2009 -- The number of Americans without health insurance rose slightly to 46.3 million in 2008, as enrollment growth in safety-net programs helped counter the continued slippage in job-based coverage.
The annual Census Bureau report, released Thursday, shows that an additional 680,000 people had no health insurance last year.
But wait till the next Census report, health care analysts warn.
The data on 2009 will likely show a much bigger jump in the uninsured, when the full brunt of the recession will be documented.
"This is only the tip of the iceberg,’" says Elise Gould, director of health policy research for the Economic Policy Institute. "It's a virtual certainty that with the deepening of the recession this year, more Americans are losing health insurance.’"
The current uninsured number is likely approaching 50 million, Gould says.
Uninsured in America
The overall percentage of Americans without health coverage in 2008, 15.4%, is statistically unchanged from the year before.
"I'm a little surprised that the number of uninsured didn't climb more,"’ says Bill Custer, a health insurance expert at Georgia State University.
But Custer also notes that the Census asked people whether they had insurance coverage at any time last year. So if someone lost job-based insurance in February of last year, that person would be counted as being insured in 2008.
A fuller picture of the recession's impact on the uninsured will be seen in next year's Census report, Custer says.
The new Census report, tracking the first full year of the recession, also shows that the nation's poverty rate increased to 13.2%, up from 12.5% in 2007, and representing the highest rate since 1997. Median household income fell 3.6% to $50,303.
The 46.3 million uninsured figure is still below a high of 47 million reported in 2006.
It's unclear how the uninsured numbers will play out in the raucous debate on health care reform. Gould says the statistics show the need for change. "Americans need affordable, secure alternatives to a system wherein you lose your coverage when you lose your job. The status quo is simply not a viable solution."