Counting Calories? Count Higher
Heavy or Lean, People Tend to Underestimate Calories in Big Portions
Sept. 7, 2006 -- Attention calorie counters: When sizing up to a big meal,
you might want to double your calorie estimate.
Most people underestimate calories in large meals, even if they're not
overweight, researchers report in the Annals of Internal Medicine.
"All persons strongly underestimate large meals and large portions,"
write Cornell University's Brian Wansink, PhD, and colleagues.
They add that the consequences might be more serious for overweight people,
who tend to eat bigger portions than leaner people.
In their study, Wansink's team created two calorie-counting challenges,
tracked the test subjects' errors, and came up with a set of practical
Their bottom line: If you're sitting down to a feast, double your calorie
First, the researchers interviewed 105 customers aged 18 and older at
fast-food restaurants in three Midwestern cities.
Participants estimated the calories in their meals, including the
The participants also reported their height and weight; 59% were normal
weight and 41% were overweight, based on BMI (body mass index), which relates
height to weight.
The diners correctly gauged the calories in the 52 smallest meals.
But those who ordered the 53 largest meals made calorie estimates that were
38% too low.
Overweight people were more likely to have bigger portions. When the
researchers took that into account, diners of all sizes were equally clueless
about calories in big meals.
Missing the Mark
Next, the researchers headed to an unnamed U.S. university, stopping along
the way at a local fast-food restaurant to buy chicken nuggets, fries, and
Back at the university, they arranged the food into 15 meals of different
sizes on paper plates.
The researchers showed the meals to 40 undergraduate students and asked the
students to gauge the calories in each meal.
The students' calorie estimates were accurate for the eight smallest meals
and 22% too low for the seven largest meals.
According to the students' self-reported height and weight, 70% of the
students had normal BMI and 30% were overweight. The results were the same for
heavier and lighter students.
The study has some limitations. For instance, no one made sure participants
told the truth about their height and weight.
When people misstate their weight, they usually lowball. When the
researchers took that into account, the results didn't change.
Serving sizes have gotten bigger over the years at many U.S. restaurants. So
what should diners do to make up for their tendency to underestimate calories
in big meals?
In their study, the researchers offer these solutions:
- Double your calorie estimates for big meals.
- Learn standard portion sizes.
- Break it down. Evaluate each item on your plate to help gauge
Here's a simple list to help you visualize portion sizes:
- 2 tablespoons of peanut butter is about the size of a ping-pong ball.
- 1.5 ounces of cheese is the size of 4 stacked dice.
- A quarter cup of raisins is about the size of a large egg.
- 1/2 cup of fresh fruit is the size of half a baseball.
- 1 cup of cereal is the size of an adult's fist.
- 3 ounces of meat or poultry is about the size of a deck of cards.